Friday, April 26, 2019

Jet Fiasco on Ground. Who is to be blamed?







Jet Airways Fiasco


What happened?
Everyone was prognosticating and it finally happened on 17th April. Jet Airways, once the crown jewel of aviation sector in India suspended its operations after National Aviators Guild (NAG), the pilots union threatened to go on strike due to frequent salary delays and multiple warnings by lessors to ground the Jet’s fleet due to non-payment of lease rentals. Jet’s fleet was down to 17 aircrafts in sky this month from 119 in total, rest were grounded. Founder Chairman Naresh Goyal due to external pressure had to step down from Jet’s board and SBI led consortium of banks took over the airline after conversion of debt to equity as Jet failed to repay the loans taken from these banks.
Jet was bleeding with losses one after the other in almost every quarter with ₹1323 crore loss in Q1 FY2019. In fact, Jet has posted losses in 8 of the past 10 years. Jet lost its market share and reached at fourth position with 11.2% market share from 22.6% in 2017.  Jet’s share price from ₹1379 in April 2005 nosedived to ₹126 in April 2019. Over 400 pilots quit in past 7 months. Jet owes nearly 11,261 crores to banks.



How paradoxical is that at one end India’s air traffic is growing at an unprecedented pace beating every other market and at the other end veteran players like Air India and Jet Airways are facing humongous losses.



Why this happened?
It will be equally intriguing to know that how and why the only private airline to fly abroad once is down on its knees to the extent of shutting operations.
On a personal note, I feel that it’s the Naresh Goyal’s stubbornness that led to this cataclysm. In 2009, when pilots went on a mass strike, Naresh Goyal despite facing losses of ₹15 crore a day, did not agree to their conditions. Also in 2007 when despite everyone including his old friend telling him not to go ahead with ailing Air Sahara acquisition that had an ageing fleet, he bought the airline for ₹1450 crore, Jet’s current crisis started after that deal. Goyal acquired it to tackle Kingfisher Airlines and other emerging low cost carriers like Indigo and Air Deccan, but this actually backfired leaving Jet with no funds to counter competition.
Other operational failures and industry factors responsible are:
1.     Jet moved its hub from Brussels to Amsterdam which increased its costs.

2.     Aviation Turbine Fuel (ATF) prices increased in line with the jump in crude oil prices and fuel costs contributes 40% of the airline’s total cost. Jet was hurt the most by it as majority of its flights are on international routes. Depreciating rupee further exacerbated Jet’s woes as 66% of their payment is in dollars.      



3.     No frills low cost carriers were seen gaining the market share with lucrative ticket prices which attracted the price sensitive flyers. Full service carriers like Jet and Air India were losing out in this race.




4.     Jet had an eclectic fleet with 777 Boeing, Airbus A330 and many more which were not fuel efficient and that too with 308 seats capacity instead of global standards of 400 seats. Goyal wanted to give flyers a palace like spacious feel and thus lost a fourth of the potential revenue.

5.     Jet was borrowing continuously to provide the best services, to buy the most flamboyant aircrafts at a time when flyers prefer low fares over service.

Even in the current turmoil, Tata Sons agreed to buy a stake in Jet and was ready to provide funds but with the condition that Goyal should step down from the board. That didn’t happen. Etihad Airways, their partner which holds 24% stake in Jet was ready to infuse more capital on the same condition but after deliberations, even Etihad was looking to sell their stake instead than providing capital. Another instance of Goyal’s adamant nature. Had Goyal ceded the control sometime back, things could have been less worse.